About FRI
Forecasting Research Institute (FRI) advances the science of forecasting to improve decision-making on high-stakes issues. Building on the work of Chief Scientist Philip Tetlock, FRI develops practical forecasting tools and applies them to society’s most critical decisions.
Our work includes:
Creating panels of experts and skilled forecasters to make predictions about complex, long-term challenges facing society, including AI progress, bioweapons, and nuclear risk.
Methodological innovations for predicting hard-to-forecast outcomes, such as applying adversarial collaboration to debates about the future of AI and developing methods to incentivize truthful long-run forecasts.
Conditional policy forecasts to identify the most promising policy solutions for addressing global challenges, such as policies for reducing nuclear risk.
The FRI Newsletter
Sign up to the FRI Newsletter to stay up-to-date with all of FRI’s work. We’ll publish regular updates on our research, other publications and the latest news from FRI and our collaborators.
For more on FRI’s work, visit our website: https://forecastingresearch.org/
